managing imported soybean oil seed price risk with futures market

Managing electricity market price risk

This paper introduces an application of financial risk management methods to the deregulated electricity markets. A framework for the Monte Carlo performance simulation of a power portfolio is presented. The optimal portfolio selection problem is addressed and a numerical method is implemented. Numerical results of simulation and optimization are presented in the Nordic electricity market. The ...

Simulation of Transaction Behavior and Price Volatility in Chinese Soybean Futures Market Using MVAR Model

Traditional vector autoregressive (VAR) modeling theory has the defect that it can not effectively utilize the multiple time scale information contained in the inner of variables. In order to discuss multiscale behavior among economic variables and capture variables’ information in different time scale, multiresolution VAR model which can also be called as MVAR model has been established in the...

Price Discovery through Crude Palm Oil Futures: An Economic Evaluation

This paper examines the forward pricing efficiency of the local crude palm oil (CPO) futures market. In an efficient market, the relevant signal to be used by -the producers, traders and processors is simply the futures price. The forward pricing efficiency is measured in terms of the forecasting ability of Malaysian crude palm oil futures price on physical price. The relative predictive power ...

Futures Market Depth: Revealed vs. Perceived Price Order Imbalances

Risk premia in crude oil futures prices

If commercial producers or financial investors use futures contracts to hedge against commodity price risk, the arbitrageurs who take the other side of the contracts may receive compensation for their assumption of nondiversifiable risk in the form of positive expected returns from their positions. We show that this interaction can produce an affine factor structure to commodity futures prices,...

Market price of risk implied by Asian-style electricity options and futures

In this paper we propose a jump-diffusion type model which recovers the main characteristics of electricity spot price dynamics in the Nordic market, including seasonality, mean-reversion and spiky behavior. We show how the calibration of the market price of risk to actively traded futures contracts allows for efficient valuation of Nord Pool's Asian-style options written on the spot electricit...